Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.088794 0.102903 0.118321 0.136391 0.156961 0.179618 0.206435
2025-01-05 0.067791 0.086556 0.108892 0.137321 0.172417 0.214187 0.267521
2025-01-12 0.051706 0.072005 0.098072 0.133738 0.180961 0.241000 0.322717
2025-01-19 0.041030 0.061781 0.090298 0.131884 0.190415 0.269187 0.382402
2025-01-26 0.035797 0.057725 0.089694 0.138948 0.211977 0.315096 0.470219
2025-02-02 0.031512 0.054109 0.088871 0.145151 0.232572 0.361378 0.563066
2025-02-09 0.025845 0.047219 0.081881 0.140775 0.236456 0.383292 0.622143
2025-02-16 0.021962 0.042501 0.077469 0.139563 0.244635 0.411903 0.693424
2025-02-23 0.018420 0.037702 0.072111 0.135856 0.247992 0.432808 0.754003
2025-03-02 0.015658 0.033810 0.067686 0.133002 0.252155 0.454980 0.818096
2025-03-09 0.013904 0.031538 0.065822 0.134370 0.263587 0.490008 0.906256
2025-03-16 0.011841 0.028257 0.061538 0.130589 0.265149 0.507903 0.966183
2025-03-23 0.011025 0.027531 0.062266 0.136727 0.286119 0.562580 1.096682
2025-03-30 0.009870 0.025843 0.060789 0.138280 0.298486 0.602793 1.204702
2025-04-06 0.008478 0.023338 0.057199 0.134980 0.300863 0.624541 1.280431
2025-04-13 0.007406 0.021394 0.054536 0.133263 0.306182 0.652235 1.369548
2025-04-20 0.007054 0.021213 0.055861 0.140476 0.330862 0.719827 1.541090
2025-04-27 0.006669 0.020871 0.056749 0.146784 0.354203 0.786584 1.716011
2025-05-04 0.005742 0.018848 0.053243 0.142383 0.353540 0.804243 1.793579
2025-05-11 0.005096 0.017491 0.051190 0.141169 0.359841 0.836800 1.903987
2025-05-18 0.004423 0.015902 0.048279 0.137429 0.359858 0.855874 1.987543
2025-05-25 0.003872 0.014571 0.045843 0.134547 0.361536 0.878570 2.080348
2025-06-01 0.003543 0.013885 0.045082 0.135930 0.373630 0.925203 2.228241